Market Analysis by Da-Pay

[mau84]

Wednesday September 19, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

2:00am EUR German PPI m/m 0.1% -0.1%
Tentative JPY BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks
3:15am CHF Retail Sales y/y 5.2% 1.0%
4:30am GBP MPC Meeting Minutes 9-0 9-0
7:00am CAD CPI m/m 0.1% 0.1%
7:00am CAD Core CPI m/m 0.1% 0.1%
8:30am USD CPI m/m 0.0% 0.1%
8:30am USD Core CPI m/m 0.2% 0.2%
8:30am USD Housing Starts 1.36M 1.38M
8:30am USD Building Permits 1.35M 1.37M
8:30am CAD Leading Indicators m/m 0.3% 0.4%
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -7.0M
6:45pm NZD Current Account -2.22B
7:50pm JPY BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions q/q -2.2
9:30pm AUD RBA Bulletin


EUR-USD
It should raise 1.4037 or over. If falls it will find support in 1.3932 - 1.3905

USD-CHF
It should test the resistance located in 1.1835. After wich a pullback to 1.1799 -1.1745 is possible.

USD-JPY
The bullish tendency this in patron of triangle. It should continue a rally to 116.22 or 117.32 if the support located in 115.74 holds. After this is possible pullback to 115.74 - 115.43.

GBP-USD
It should raise over 2.0228 while 2.0053 or 2.0005 offer support. We will have to place the Stop loss below 1.9957.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
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The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.

[justinefx]

Hey mau84,:)

This is how this week looks on EUR/USD.
Now, whilst above 1.2900 (1.2800 max), the Euro remains in an uptrend which is heading back towards 1.3800, and possibly higher still, towards 1.4100.
Lets look on.

[mau84]

Thursday September 20, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

1:30am EUR ECB President Trichet Speaks
2:15am CHF Trade Balance 0.95B 1.57B
3:00am JPY BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks
3:15am CHF PPI m/m 0.1% 0.1%
4:00am EUR Italian Unemployment Rate 6.2% 6.2%
4:30am GBP Retail Sales m/m 0.0% 0.7%
4:30am GBP M4 Money Supply m/m 0.9% 1.0%
4:30am GBP BSA Mortgage Approvals 3.6B
4:45am GBP MPC Treasury Committee Hearings
5:00am CHF ZEW Expectations -8.0 -5.1
6:00am GBP CBI Industrial Trends Orders 5 9
8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 320K 319K
8:30am CAD Wholesale Sales m/m 0.5% 0.2%
10:00am USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
10:00am USD Leading Index m/m -0.1% 0.4%
12:00pm USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 3.0 0.0
6:45pm NZD Visitor Arrivals m/m -1.8%
7:50pm JPY All Industries Activity Index m/m -0.3% 0.2%
9:30pm AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m 0.6%
11:00pm NZD Credit Card Spending y/y 7.8%


EUR-USD
Possible falls should hold around 1.3932 - 1.3905 and after that happen rally over 1.4011. If it falls below 1,3905 this will indicate us that the rally doesnt occur.

USD-CHF
It should sell towards 1.1806 or 1.1753. If happens a correction upward, this will face the resistance around 1.1858. If breaks 1.1919 this will make this pair bullish.

USD-JPY
It should a correction down to 115.72 followed of a bullish movement to 116.20 or 116.38. If raise over 116.68 this will be a strong bullish movement.

GBP-USD
If is over 1.9979 - 1.9914 could test 2.0044 or 2.0136. After of which should finish the bearish tendency.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.

[mau84]

Originally Posted by justinefx

Hey mau84,:)

This is how this week looks on EUR/USD.
Now, whilst above 1.2900 (1.2800 max), the Euro remains in an uptrend which is heading back towards 1.3800, and possibly higher still, towards 1.4100.
Lets look on.

yes, that is correct. but i see others targets. I see first target at 1.4116 and a secon target at 1.4703 (using Fibo Projection). But the Euro is going to face the resistance at 1.4108 and 1.4547. Of course i am saying this because i am making an monthly analysis. But for sure Euro is going to face 1.4100.

[mau84]

Friday September 21, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

4:00am EUR Current Account 3.7B 5.9B
4:00am EUR Manufacturing PMI (p) 54.0 54.3
4:00am EUR Services PMI (p) 57.6 58.0
5:00am USD Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks
8:00am USD Fed Governor Kohn Speaks
8:30am CAD Retail Sales m/m 0.0% -0.9%
8:30am CAD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.4% -0.3%
11:00am EUR ECB President Trichet Speaks
11:00am CHF SNB Chairman Roth Speaks
1:00pm USD Fed Governor Warsh Speaks


EUR-USD
This pair has a pattern of triangle. It should continue towards 1.4120 or 1.4184 if the support located in 1.4038 holds. After this is possible that there is pullback towards 1.4038 - 1.4012.

USD-CHF
This pair has a bearish tendency. The deceleration of the moment could attract it towards the supports located in 1.1763 or 1.1656. The main support is around 1.1643.

USD-JPY
It is possible that it falls below 112.82 if is below 114.74 - 114.92. If raise over 115.88 this will indicate us that the fall doesnt occur.

GBP-USD
The falls should stop near 2.0065 or 2.0024 for a raise towards 2.0110 - 2.0156 or 2.0237.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.

[justinefx]

Hi mau84,

The Euro is certainly facing resistance levels at 1.4100.
Counter-trend opportunities: Sell 1.4000/1.4100
This is what it bears the Bullish term for.:)

Euro on a high!! :001_005:

[mau84]

Tuesday September 21, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

2:00am EUR German Import Price Index m/m 0.0% 0.3%
2:45am EUR French Consumer Spending m/m 0.3% 1.6%
4:00am EUR German Ifo Business Climate Index 105.0 105.8
4:00am EUR German Ifo Business Expectations Index 99.5 100.4
4:00am EUR Italian Retail Sales m/m 0.1% 0.1%
4:00am CHF Consumption Indicator 2.261
4:30am GBP Business Investment q/q (r) 0.8% 0.8%
5:00am EUR Italian Trade Balance 1.43B 0.38B
9:00am USD National Home Price Index 199.2
9:00am NZD Consumer Confidence 111.4
10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 5.50M 5.75M
10:00am USD Consumer Confidence 104.5 105.0
10:00am USD Richmond Fed Index 5 7
4:05pm CAD BOC Governor Dodge Speaks
6:45pm NZD Trade Balance -0.99B -0.79B
7:50pm JPY Trade Balance 0.74T 0.82T
8:00pm AUD Leading Index m/m 0.3% 0.4%

EUR-USD
We expect that falls to 1.4059 or below 1.4032. The resistance are in 1.4083 and 1.4094. If raise over 1.4121 will delay the fall.

USD-CHF
It should to be sold towards 1.1687 or 1.1651. If there is a correction should face the resistance around 1.1739. If raise over 1.1774 will become in bullish.

USD-JPY
We waited for fall below 114.54. Later it should have a correction over 115.75. If falls below 114.22 will indicate us that the pair will continue bearish.

GBP-USD
It should test the support in 2.0173 while is below 2.0223. If the support in 2.0175 holds could raise to 2.0294, if it does not hold falls below 2.0124.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.

[mau84]

Wednesday September 26, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

2:00am EUR German Consumer Confidence 7.0 7.6
4:30am GBP GDP q/q (r) 0.8% 0.8%
4:30am GBP Current Account -11.5B -12.2B
5:30am CHF Leading Index m/m 2.00 2.06
8:30am USD Durable Goods Orders m/m -3.8% 6.0%
8:30am USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m -1.0% 3.8%
8:30am USD St. Louis Fed President Poole Speaks
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -3.8M
11:10am EUR ECB President Trichet Speaks
6:45pm NZD Building Consents m/m -15.5%
11:00pm NZD Business Confidence -33.8

EUR-USD
It is possible that in this pair there is a correction or consolidation between 1.4081 and 1.4211.

USD-CHF
This pair is in a bearish tendency. The deceleration of the momentum could attract it towards the supports located in 1.1648 or 1.1616. The main support is around 1.1606.

USD-JPY
It should drop to the support located in 113.74 for after raise to 115.15 or 115.54.

GBP-USD
It should to drop to the main support located in 2.0104 for after raise towards 2.0247 or 2.0309.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.

[mau84]

Thursday September 27, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

2:00am GBP Nationwide House Prices m/m 0.3% 0.6%
3:55am EUR German Unemployment Rate 8.9% 9.0%
4:00am EUR M3 Money Supply y/y 11.7% 11.7%
4:30am GBP Index of Services 3m/3m 0.8% 0.8%
4:30am GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals 67.0K
6:00am GBP CBI Distributive Trades Realized 11 15
8:30am USD GDP Annualized q/q (r) 3.9% 4.0%
8:30am USD GDP Deflator Annualized q/q (r) 2.7% 2.7%
8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 315K 311K
10:00am USD New Home Sales 825K 870K
Tentative EUR German CPI m/m (p) 0.0% -0.1%
1:00pm USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
6:45pm NZD GDP q/q 0.5% 1.0%
7:00pm USD Fed Governor Mishkin Speaks
7:30pm JPY Core CPI y/y -0.1% -0.1%
7:30pm JPY Tokyo CPI y/y -0.1% -0.2%
7:30pm JPY Core Tokyo CPI y/y 0.0% 0.0%
7:30pm JPY Overall Household Spending y/y 1.1% -0.1%
7:30pm JPY Manufacturing PMI 49.6
7:30pm JPY Unemployment Rate 3.6% 3.6%
7:50pm JPY Industrial Production m/m (p) 3.0% -0.4%
7:50pm JPY Retail Sales y/y -0.5% -2.3%
7:50pm JPY Large Retailers' Sales y/y 0.1% -2.5%
8:30pm AUD TDMI Inflation Gauge m/m 0.5%

EUR-USD
Any fall should hold in 1.4104 -1.4085 and later take place a rally over 1.4185. If fall below 1.4083 this will indicate us that the rally doesnt occur.

USD-CHF
It should try to raise over 1,1710 after of which it is possible that it is debilitated and it fallen below 1.1658..

USD-JPY
The present raise should finalize in 115.64 or 116.01 to take place a fall towards 115.27 - 115.03.

GBP-USD
It should to drop to the main support located in 2.0104 for after raise towards 2.0247 or 2.0309.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.

[mau84]

Monday October 1, 2007

ECONOMIC DATA FOR TODAY:

10:30am EUR ECB President Trichet Speaks
7:50pm JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Index 21 23
7:50pm JPY Tankan Large Non-Manufacturers Index 21 22
9:30pm JPY Average Cash Earnings y/y -1.7%
3:30am CHF SVME PMI 63.2 65.1
3:35am EUR ECB President Trichet Speaks
3:55am EUR German Manufacturing PMI 55.0 56.0
4:00am EUR Manufacturing PMI 53.2 53.2
4:30am GBP Manufacturing PMI 55.5 56.3
4:30am GBP Mortgage Approvals 111K 115K
4:30am GBP Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q 12.5B 13.2B
4:30am GBP Net Lending to Individuals m/m 10.0B 10.3B
10:00am USD ISM Manufacturing Index 52.8 52.9
10:00am USD ISM Manufacturing Prices 62.0 63.0
7:30pm AUD Manufacturing PMI 52.4
7:50pm JPY Monetary Base y/y 0.2% 0.7%

EUR-USD
This pair has pattern of triangle. It should continue his rally to 1.,4332 or 1.4358 if the support located in 1.4223 holds. After that is possible that it produces a fall to 1.4223 or 1.4197.

USD-CHF
It should move towards the resistance located in 1.1666. It is possible that after that takes place caida to 1.1596 - 1.1552.

USD-JPY
It should raise towards 115.45 or 116.02 but this raise will be affected if it fall below 114.45 - 114.25, is possible that a an abrupt fall takes place.

GBP-USD
This pair has pattern of triangle. It should continue his rally to 2.0532 or 2.0647 if the support located in 2.0376 holds. After that is possible a fall to 2.0376 - 2.0330.

Yours
Da-Pay.Com

-------------
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

The bulletins of technical analysis published by Da-Pay.comare only offered for a reason or purpose informative. The informations contained whithin these bulletins are compiled from trustworthy sources of intelligence. They will not have in any case of being considered like an investment advice. Da-Pay.Com or any of their employees or representantives will be responsibles as far as exactitude, error, omision or use of any content of this report, or its puntuality. Da-Pay.Com does not assume any responsability by losses or gains that could generate the pursuit of the informations contained in this bulletin.