After German Producer Prices increased at the fastest pace in 2 years, EURUSD recouped all of yesterday’s losses in early European trade but the rally was temporarily stymied by worse than expected reading from the ZEW survey indicating concern about future growth from the region’s investment analysts. The correction however, lasted all of 10 minutes as the pair skyrocketed once again after ZEW officials predicted that ECB will hike rates in the near future.
yes, oil price rebounds now and give affect for US economics conditions.
in this condition, which more give profits for traders for analizing, fundamentals or technical points of view ?
BoE Voted 8-1 To Keep Rates Unchanged
The BoE voted 8 to 1 to keep the benchmark rate unchanged at 5.00% at their May 8th policy meeting due to inflation concerns. Perennial dove David Blanchflower was the only dissenter calling for a quarter point cut,
The BoE voted 8 to 1 to keep the benchmark rate unchanged at 5.00% at their May 8th policy meeting due to inflation concerns. Perennial dove David Blanchflower was the only dissenter calling for a quarter point cut, which was expected as he had publicly made statements calling for action to stem a U.K. recession. Inflation continues to remain a concern for the central bank as they believe that current record energy costs will filter through to consumer prices for the next twelve months. Governor Meryn King stated in the quarterly inflation report that he expects to have to write a letter of explanation to Chancellor Darling for several quarters as prices continue to grow above the 3% threshold. The majority recognized the significant growth risks to the economy from the declining housing market and property values, but felt that the slowdown was needed to rein in inflation and reach their 2% CPI target. The committee believes that further cuts would risk letting inflation get out of control and send the wrong signal to wage bargainers and companies. The expectation is that the MPC may not look to change interest rates until next year.
oil price look still bullish. On my analyze if oil price up that's would affect to make USD more weak, this time i'm looking to watch USDACD.
yes. this information maybe useful as below:
USD/CAD - This Week's Technical Opportunity
he oil ‘crisis’ is dominating financial headlines, business shows, and even congress’ agenda. When the price of a commodity commands this level of publicity, the probability of a sharp reversal is heightened. As a currency trader, one way to speculate on an oil reversal is with the USDCAD. What’s more, risk is well defined.
This is a longer term look at the decline from the 2002 top near 1.60. The drop is in 7 waves (to this point), and could be complete as a double zigzag correction. If this pattern holds, then a multi-year low is in place at .9055 and the USDCAD is headed much higher in the coming months. A word of caution though; there is an alternate bearish pattern that holds just as much weight and allows for a new low (below .9055) before a major low is considered in place. For bulls though, risk is low. We’ll address this in shorter term charts.
The break of a trendline a few weeks ago is worrisome but as long as price is above .9710 (keeping a series of higher lows intact), a bullish argument can be made. A drop below .9710 will either lead to a drop below .9055 (and final low) quickly or complete wave B of a triangle. In the case of the latter, the USDCAD would trade in a range for probably the rest of the year. In summary, a drop below .9710 warrants a bearish bias. Even in the case of the triangle, the pair likely drops into the .9300 area to complete wave B.
This is the chart that we have been showing in the technicals for some time and illustrates why we have favored the bull side. We are treating the advance from .9710 to 1.0324 as wave 1 (probably of a larger C wave) of a bull cycle. The slow drop from 1.0324 has all the earmarks of a correction; time consuming and consisting of 3 wave movements. The bullish line in the sand is .9710. With price so close to there, reward/risk is heavily skewed in favor of bulls. The minimum objective is above 1.0324.
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